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The Drunkard's Walk: How Randomness Rules Our Lives - Leonard Mlodinow
The Drunkard's Walk: How Randomness Rules Our Lives
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4.08 120
In this irreverent and illuminating book, acclaimed writer and scientist Leonard Mlodinow shows us how randomness, change, and probability reveal a tremendous amount about our daily lives, and how we misunderstand the significance of everything from a casual conversation to a major financial... show more
In this irreverent and illuminating book, acclaimed writer and scientist Leonard Mlodinow shows us how randomness, change, and probability reveal a tremendous amount about our daily lives, and how we misunderstand the significance of everything from a casual conversation to a major financial setback. As a result, successes and failures in life are often attributed to clear and obvious cases, when in actuality they are more profoundly influenced by chance.The rise and fall of your favorite movie star of the most reviled CEO--in fact, of all our destinies--reflects as much as planning and innate abilities. Even the legendary Roger Maris, who beat Babe Ruth's single-season home run record, was in all likelihood not great but just lucky. And it might be shocking to realize that you are twice as likely to be killed in a car accident on your way to buying a lottery ticket than you are to win the lottery.How could it have happened that a wine was given five out of five stars, the highest rating, in one journal and in another it was called the worst wine of the decade? Mlodinow vividly demonstrates how wine ratings, school grades, political polls, and many other things in daily life are less reliable than we believe. By showing us the true nature of change and revealing the psychological illusions that cause us to misjudge the world around us, Mlodinow gives fresh insight into what is really meaningful and how we can make decisions based on a deeper truth. From the classroom to the courtroom, from financial markets to supermarkets, from the doctor's office to the Oval Office, Mlodinow's insights will intrigue, awe, and inspire.Offering readers not only a tour of randomness, chance, and probability but also a new way of looking at the world, this original, unexpected journey reminds us that much in our lives is about as predictable as the steps of a stumbling man fresh from a night at the bar.
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Format: hardcover
ISBN: 9780375424045 (0375424040)
Publisher: Pantheon
Pages no: 252
Edition language: English
Bookstores:
Community Reviews
Steeped in Science, Submersed in Story
Steeped in Science, Submersed in Story rated it
4.0 The Drunkard's Walk: How Randomness Rules Our Lives
This is just a really good, basic introduction to understanding statistics and their applications to social sciences and natural sciences, sports, the world of finance, and everywhere we see patterns in life. It has a heavy historical slant, telling the stories of how theories were developed, and I...
bookaneer
bookaneer rated it
5.0 Correlation, Causality, and Random Fluctuations
~~Moved from GR~~ The Drunkard's Walk: How Randomness Rules Our Lives by Leonard Mlodinow Agh, I love this book. The first time I read it, I hadn't yet encountered The Tipping Point: How Little Things Can Make a Big Difference or Freakonomics: A Rogue Economist Explores the Hidden Side of Everythi...
SF Fan Man
SF Fan Man rated it
If we were all unfeeling iRobots (floor cleaners) who respond to the random encounters in our lives by simply changing direction then the premise of this book is justified, for we would all follow our individual drunkard's walks to whatever probabilistic future awaits us. However taking this a step ...
Osho
Osho rated it
My bone to pick with this popular stats/probability text is that Mlodinow indulges in the same sloppy examples and logic that marred so many of my math and science classes. If you're going to talk probability, stick with dice. As a nerd from the early days of Dungeons and Dragons, I completely under...
mathstalio
mathstalio rated it
3.0 The Drunkard's Walk: How Randomness Rules Our Lives
I think this book is a must-read for any person who considers themselves an informed citizen: it reveals the misunderstanding of probability and statistics that a majority of the population has and will enable you to determine the true significance of polls, surveys, and statistics thrown out in cur...
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